The Association of Agent Orange Exposure with the progression of monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance to multiple myeloma: a population-based study of Vietnam War Era Veterans.

Herbicide and pesticide exposure [e.g., agent orange (AO)] is associated with an increased risk of multiple myeloma (MM) due to the contaminant, 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD). However, it is unclear whether TCDD/AO exposure (AO exposure hereafter) increases the risk of progression of monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) to MM. We sought to evaluate the association in a nationwide study of US Veterans. A natural language processing algorithm was used to confirm MGUS and progression to MM. We included Veterans who were diagnosed with MGUS from 10/1/1999 to 12/31/2021 and served during the Vietnam War Era from 1/9/1962 to 5/7/1975. AO exposure was stratified according to three TCDD exposure levels: high (1/9/1962-11/30/1965), medium (12/1/1965-12/31/1970), or low (1/1/1971-5/7/1975). The association between AO exposure and progression was analyzed using multivariable Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard model with death as a competing event. The analytic cohort included 10,847 Veterans with MGUS, of whom 26.3% had AO exposure and 7.4% progressed to MM over a median follow-up of 5.2 years. In multivariable analysis, high exposure was associated with an increased progression rate (multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio 1.48; 95% confidence interval 1.02-2.16), compared to Veterans with no exposure. This information is critical to inform progression risk in patients diagnosed with MGUS and prior AO exposure. It is also applicable to MGUS patients with occupational TCDD exposure from herbicides and pesticides.

The Association of Agent Orange (AO) Exposure with Monoclonal Gammopathy of Undetermined Significance (MGUS) to Multiple Myeloma (MM) Progression: A Population-based Study of Vietnam War Era Veterans.

Background: Herbicide and pesticide exposure (e.g., agent orange [AO]) is associated with an increased risk of multiple myeloma (MM) due to the contaminant, 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD). Monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) is the precursor state to MM; however, not all patients with MGUS progress to MM. It is unclear whether AO exposure increases the risk of progression of MGUS to MM. Purpose: We aimed to determine the association between AO exposure and progression to MM in a nation-wide study of U.S. Veterans with MGUS. Patients and Methods: This is a population-based cohort study of Vietnam Era Veterans diagnosed with MGUS. A natural language processing (NLP) algorithm was used to confirm MGUS and progression to MM. The association between AO and progression was analyzed using multivariable Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard model with death as a competing event. Veterans who served during the Vietnam War Era from 1/9/1962-5/7/1975 and were diagnosed with MGUS between 10/1/1999-12/31/2021 were included. We excluded patients with missing BMI values, progression within 1 year after MGUS diagnosis date, non-IgG or IgA MGUS, or birth years outside of the range of the AO exposed group, and race other than Black and White. AO exposure and service during 1/9/1962-;5/7/1975 and stratified according to TCDD exposure levels by three time periods: 1/9/1962-11/30/1965 (high), 12/1/1965-12/31/1970 (medium), or 1/1/1971-5/7/1975 (low). The association between AO and progression was analyzed using multivariable Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard model with death as a competing event. Results: We identified 10,847 Veterans with MGUS, of whom 7,996 had AO exposure. Overall, 7.4% of MGUS patients progressed to MM over a median follow-up of 5.2 years. In multivariable analysis, AO exposure from 1/9/1962-11/30/1965, high TCDD exposure, was associated with an increased risk of progression (adjusted hazard ratio 1.48; 95% confidence interval 1.02-2.16), compared to Veterans with no exposure. Conclusions: In patients with MGUS, the high Agent Orange exposure time period is associated with a 48% increased risk of progression to multiple myeloma. This suggests that patients with MGUS and prior Agent Orange exposure or occupational exposure to TCDD (eg. Agricultural workers) may require thorough screening for plasma cell dyscrasias.